RSS

Bank of Canada Raises Rates to 2.5% | What It Means for Ottawa Homeowners
Market Update · October 28, 2026

Bank of Canada Raises Rates to 2.5%: What It Means for Ottawa Buyers, Sellers and Homeowners

The first rate hike since 2023 is here. Here's what changed, why the Bank did it, and how it affects your mortgage and your next move in the Ottawa market.

By Ali Realty Group · Ottawa Real Estate

On October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by a quarter point, from 2.25% to 2.5%. It's the Bank's first increase since July 2023 and the first change of any kind in about a year, after seven straight decisions to hold.

Most economists saw this coming, but that doesn't make it less important if you have a variable-rate mortgage, a renewal on the horizon, or plans to buy or sell in Ottawa. Below we break down the announcement in plain language and what we think it means for you.

2.50%
New policy rate
(up 0.25%)
~3%
CPI inflation
since April
~3.5%
Inflation expected
by year-end
Dec 9
Next rate
announcement

Why the Bank of Canada Raised Rates

In short: energy prices. The conflict in the Middle East is now in its eighth month with no clear end in sight, and oil prices have stayed stubbornly high. That has kept Canada's headline inflation around 3% since April, and the Bank now expects it to climb to roughly 3.5% by the end of the year.

The Bank pointed out that inflation excluding gasoline was 2.2% in September, and its core inflation measures are still near its 2% target. So why act now? Because cost pressures are starting to build underneath. Higher fuel prices are pushing up the cost of producing and shipping goods, imported input costs are rising, and the Bank's own surveys suggest businesses will pass more of those costs on to customers over the next year.

The Bank's goal: stop high energy prices from spreading into the prices of everything else. This hike is meant to get ahead of that before it takes hold.

The Bank also sees the economy holding up better than expected. Canada's GDP grew 3.3% in the second quarter, with about 2% growth expected in the third. Consumer spending has been solid and business investment has rebounded. That stronger footing gave the Bank room to raise rates without worrying as much about tipping the economy over.

Updated Forecasts at a Glance

Measure202620272028
Canadian GDP growth1%2%2%
CPI inflation~3.5% by year-end3% averageBack to 2% by mid-year

Source: Bank of Canada, October 28, 2026 rate announcement and Monetary Policy Report.

The Bank expects growth to slow in the last few months of 2026 because of new U.S. tariffs, then pick up again in 2027. Notably for our industry, it expects housing to remain relatively weak in the near term.

Will Rates Go Up Again?

Possibly. The Bank said plainly that further increases may be needed, but that it will proceed carefully given how uncertain things are, especially around the Middle East and Canada-U.S. trade. The next decision is on December 9, 2026, and the next full forecast comes on January 27, 2027.

Our read: this isn't a return to the rapid-fire hikes of 2022 and 2023. Rates are still low by historical standards. But the direction has changed, and it's smart to plan with that in mind.

What This Means for You in Ottawa

Variable-rate owners

You'll feel it first

Lenders typically move their prime rate in step with the Bank. As a rough guide, a 0.25% increase adds about $14 a month for every $100,000 owing on a 25-year amortization. If your payment is fixed, more of it will now go to interest instead of principal.

Fixed-rate owners

No change today

Your rate and payment stay the same until renewal. If you're renewing in the next 6 to 12 months, start comparing options early. Fixed rates follow bond yields, which have already moved higher since the summer.

Buyers

Lock in your rate

Get a pre-approval with a rate hold (usually 90 to 120 days) to protect yourself if rates rise again in December. With the Bank expecting a softer housing market, buyers may find more choice and more room to negotiate in Ottawa.

Sellers

Price it right from day one

Higher rates trim what some buyers can afford. Homes that are well-prepared and priced to the current market still sell, but overpricing and waiting it out is riskier now. A clear pricing strategy matters more than ever.

Investors and landlords: run your numbers again at today's rates, and stress-test them at a higher one. Ottawa's rental demand remains steady, but tighter cash flow on variable-rate or upcoming-renewal properties is worth planning for now rather than later.

Smart Moves to Make This Week

  • Check your mortgage type and renewal date. Know exactly what you have and when it comes up.
  • Call your lender or mortgage broker if you're variable to confirm your new payment, or to ask about locking in.
  • Buyers: get pre-approved now with a rate hold, before the December 9 decision.
  • Sellers: get an up-to-date market evaluation based on today's buyer conditions, not last spring's.
  • Don't panic. A quarter point is a modest move. Decisions based on a clear plan beat decisions based on headlines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bank of Canada's interest rate now?

As of October 28, 2026, the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is 2.5%, up from 2.25%. The Bank Rate is 2.75% and the deposit rate is 2.45%.

Will my mortgage payment go up?

If you have a variable-rate mortgage with adjustable payments, likely yes, once your lender adjusts its prime rate. If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, your payment won't change until renewal.

When is the next Bank of Canada rate announcement?

The next scheduled announcement is December 9, 2026. The next Monetary Policy Report will be released on January 27, 2027.

Is now a bad time to buy a home in Ottawa?

Not necessarily. Higher rates can mean less competition and more negotiating room. The key is buying within a comfortable budget, getting a rate hold, and stress-testing your payment at a higher rate.

Not Sure How This Affects Your Plans?

Whether you're buying, selling, renewing or just want to understand where the Ottawa market is heading, our team is happy to walk you through it. No pressure, just straight answers.

This article is for general information only and is based on the Bank of Canada's October 28, 2026 announcement. It is not financial or mortgage advice. Payment estimates are approximate and vary by lender, rate and amortization. Please speak with your lender or a licensed mortgage professional about your specific situation.

Read

Living in Findlay Creek: Ottawa’s Fastest-Growing Family Suburb

Over the past decade, Findlay Creek has transformed from quiet farmland into one of Ottawa’s most vibrant and fastest-growing suburban communities. Located in the south end near Bank Street and Leitrim Road, this master-planned neighborhood has become a magnet for young families, first-time buyers, and newcomers looking for modern homes, family-friendly amenities, and room to grow.

In 2025, Findlay Creek continues to boom — with new builds, expanding schools, and plenty of suburban conveniences. Here’s why more families are choosing to call it home.


A Hub of New Builds and Modern Homes

One of the biggest attractions of Findlay Creek is its selection of new-build homes. Unlike older Ottawa suburbs, most of the housing here has been constructed within the last 15 years, offering:

  • Detached Homes with open layouts, energy-efficient systems, and spacious yards.

  • Townhomes ideal for first-time buyers and young professionals who want affordability without sacrificing space.

  • Semi-detached options that balance cost and comfort.

Developers like Tamarack and Tartan continue to expand the community, so buyers still have opportunities to purchase pre-construction homes or move-in-ready builds. This makes Findlay Creek especially appealing for those who want modern finishes without the need for renovations.


Schools and Family-Friendly Appeal

Families are the heartbeat of Findlay Creek. The community has already welcomed brand-new elementary schools with both English and French options, and more schools are planned as the population grows.

Parents love Findlay Creek for:

  • Safe, quiet residential streets.

  • Playgrounds and splash pads throughout the community.

  • Easy access to École secondaire catholique Franco-Cité and other nearby secondary schools.

It’s not unusual to see kids biking to school, parents pushing strollers, or neighbors gathering at local parks — making Findlay Creek feel like a true family-centered suburb.


Suburban Amenities Close to Home

Despite being a newer suburb, Findlay Creek has quickly built up its own amenities. Residents enjoy:

  • Findlay Creek Centre – Home to groceries, restaurants, fitness studios, and coffee shops.

  • Medical and dental clinics – Conveniently located for growing families.

  • Community events hosted by the Findlay Creek Community Association.

For larger shopping trips, residents head to South Keys or Hunt Club, just a short drive away.


Green Spaces and Outdoor Living

Findlay Creek may be growing fast, but it hasn’t lost its connection to nature. The community is bordered by the Leitrim Wetlands, offering trails and birdwatching opportunities. Local parks and walking paths are integrated throughout the neighborhood, encouraging an active lifestyle.

For families who value outdoor space, Findlay Creek provides the best of both worlds — suburban comfort and access to nature.


Transportation and Commute

Findlay Creek is conveniently located near Bank Street and Leitrim Road, making it easy to access downtown Ottawa in about 25–35 minutes by car.

Transit options are expanding too:

  • OC Transpo routes connect the community to South Keys and beyond.

  • The future Leitrim LRT station (part of Ottawa’s Stage 2 expansion) will provide faster, car-free access to downtown, making Findlay Creek even more attractive for commuters.


Who’s Moving to Findlay Creek in 2025?

This neighborhood attracts:

  • Young families upgrading from condos or townhouses.

  • First-time buyers looking for new builds at competitive prices.

  • New Canadians seeking a welcoming, multicultural community.

  • Investors drawn to the area’s strong rental demand from families.

The diversity of Findlay Creek makes it one of Ottawa’s most inclusive and dynamic suburbs.


Pros & Cons of Living in Findlay Creek

Pros

  • New-build homes with modern layouts and energy efficiency.

  • Family-focused community with growing schools and parks.

  • Strong sense of neighborhood connection.

  • Upcoming LRT access at Leitrim Station.

Cons

  • Still developing, so some amenities are a work in progress.

  • Commute downtown can be longer during rush hour.

  • Higher demand can make homes sell quickly, reducing buyer choice.


Final Thoughts: Why Families Love Findlay Creek

Findlay Creek has become Ottawa’s fastest-growing family suburb for good reason. It offers modern housing, excellent schools, green spaces, and a welcoming community spirit, all within reach of the city’s core.

For buyers who want the comfort of suburban living with the promise of continued growth and new amenities, Findlay Creek is a neighborhood worth watching — and moving into.

Read

🔔 Important Update: Bank of Canada Lowers Policy Rate Again

Bank of Canada reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 3¾%.

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 3¾%, with the Bank Rate at 4% and the deposit rate at 3¾%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The Bank continues to expect the global economy to expand at a rate of about 3% over the next two years. Growth in the United States is now expected to be stronger than previously forecast while the outlook for China remains subdued. Growth in the euro area has been soft but should recover modestly next year. Inflation in advanced economies has declined in recent months, and is now around central bank targets. Global financial conditions have eased since July, in part because of market expectations of lower policy interest rates. Global oil prices are about $10 lower than assumed in the July Monetary Policy Report (MPR).

In Canada, the economy grew at around 2% in the first half of the year and we expect growth of 1¾% in the second half. Consumption has continued to grow but is declining on a per person basis. Exports have been boosted by the opening of the Trans Mountain Expansion pipeline. The labour market remains soft—the unemployment rate was at 6.5% in September. Population growth has continued to expand the labour force while hiring has been modest. This has particularly affected young people and newcomers to Canada. Wage growth remains elevated relative to productivity growth. Overall, the economy continues to be in excess supply.

GDP growth is forecast to strengthen gradually over the projection horizon, supported by lower interest rates. This forecast largely reflects the net effect of a gradual pick up in consumer spending per person and slower population growth. Residential investment growth is also projected to rise as strong demand for housing lifts sales and spending on renovations. Business investment is expected to strengthen as demand picks up, and exports should remain strong, supported by robust demand from the United States.

Overall, the Bank forecasts GDP growth of 1.2% in 2024, 2.1% in 2025, and 2.3% in 2026. As the economy strengthens, excess supply is gradually absorbed.

CPI inflation has declined significantly from 2.7% in June to 1.6% in September. Inflation in shelter costs remains elevated but has begun to ease. Excess supply elsewhere in the economy has reduced inflation in the prices of many goods and services. The drop in global oil prices has led to lower gasoline prices. These factors have all combined to bring inflation down. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation are now below 2½%. With inflationary pressures no longer broad-based, business and consumer inflation expectations have largely normalized.

The Bank expects inflation to remain close to the target over the projection horizon, with the upward and downward pressures on inflation roughly balancing out. The upward pressure from shelter and other services gradually diminishes, and the downward pressure on inflation recedes as excess supply in the economy is absorbed.

With inflation now back around the 2% target, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy rate by 50 basis points to support economic growth and keep inflation close to the middle of the 1% to 3% range. If the economy evolves broadly in line with our latest forecast, we expect to reduce the policy rate further. However, the timing and pace of further reductions in the policy rate will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of its implications for the inflation outlook. We will take decisions one meeting at a time. The Bank is committed to maintaining price stability for Canadians by keeping inflation close to the 2% target.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is December 11, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on January 29, 2025.

Read

🔔 Important Update: Bank of Canada Lowers Policy Rate Again

The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate to 4¼%, with the Bank Rate at 4½% and the deposit rate at 4¼%. The Bank is continuing its policy of balance sheet normalization.

The global economy expanded by about 2½% in the second quarter, consistent with projections in the Bank’s July Monetary Policy Report (MPR). In the United States, economic growth was stronger than expected, led by consumption, but the labour market has slowed. Euro-area growth has been boosted by tourism and other services, while manufacturing has been soft. Inflation in both regions continues to moderate. In China, weak domestic demand weighed on economic growth. Global financial conditions have eased further since July, with declines in bond yields. The Canadian dollar has appreciated modestly, largely reflecting a lower US dollar. Oil prices are lower than assumed in the July MPR. 

In Canada, the economy grew by 2.1% in the second quarter, led by government spending and business investment. This was slightly stronger than forecast in July, but preliminary indicators suggest that economic activity was soft through June and July. The labour market continues to slow, with little change in employment in recent months. Wage growth, however, remains elevated relative to productivity.

As expected, inflation slowed further to 2.5% in July. The Bank’s preferred measures of core inflation averaged around 2 ½% and the share of components of the consumer price index growing above 3% is roughly at its historical norm. High shelter price inflation is still the biggest contributor to total inflation but is starting to slow. Inflation also remains elevated in some other services.

With continued easing in broad inflationary pressures, Governing Council decided to reduce the policy interest rate by a further 25 basis points. Excess supply in the economy continues to put downward pressure on inflation, while price increases in shelter and some other services are holding inflation up. Governing Council is carefully assessing these opposing forces on inflation. Monetary policy decisions will be guided by incoming information and our assessment of their implications for the inflation outlook. The Bank remains resolute in its commitment to restoring price stability for Canadians.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is October 23, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR at the same time.

Read
Categories:   $400k | $500k | $50k Savings | $600k | $700k | $800k | 105 Champagne Ave | 2026 | 5-Minute Errand Test | Activities | Ādisōke | Advice | Affordable | AI | AirBnB | Ajax | Algonquin College | Ali Realty Group | All Four Seasons | All you can eat | Alta Vista | Another Province | Apartment | Arnprior | Arnprior Real Estate | August | Autumn | Available Programs | AYCE | Back to School | Bakery | Bank of Canada Rate Announcement | Barrhaven | Barrhaven Downtown, Barrhaven - Strandherd Real Estate | Barrhaven East | Barrhaven West | Bayshore | Beacon Hill South | Beechwood Village | Beers | Best | Best Beer | Best Biking Paths | Best Brunch Spots | Best Cities To Live | Best Coffee Shops in Ottawa | Best Condos | Best IndianDesi Food | Best Local | Best Neighbourhoods | Best Patio | Best Pizza | Best Schools | Best Speakeasy Bars | Best Study Spots | Best Taco Spots | Best Travel Destinations 2026 | Best Walking Paths | Bidding Wars | Bilingual | Birthday | Boom City | Booming | Boring | Boundary Expansion | Brampton | Branding | Britannia Village | BRRRR Strategy | Brunch | Bucket List | Budget | Budgeting | Build-to-Rent | Building | Bungalow | Burlington | Busing | Buyers Market | Buying | Byward Market | Byward Market, Lower Town Real Estate | Byward Market/Lower Town, Sandy Hill Real Estate | Cafe | Calgary | Canada Day | Cap Rates | Car-Free | Caribbean Food | Carleton Place | Carleton University | Carlington | Carlsbad Springs | Carp | Celebrations | Central 1 | Centretown | Centretown West | Centretown, Ottawa Centre Real Estate | CFB Rockcliffe and Area, Manor Park - Cardinal Glen and A Real Estate | CFB Rockcliffe and Area, Manor Park - Cardinal Glen Real Estate | Changing | Changing Real Estate | Chapel Hill | Cheapest Places | Checklist | CHEO | Childcare | Chinatown | Christmas | Civc Hospital | Civic Hospital | Clients | Climate Goals | Closing Costs | Coffee Shop | Communities | Commuting | Compared | Condo Building Guide | Condo Fees | Condos | Confluence Park | Convent Glen and Area, Orleans Real Estate | Cost of Living | Cottage | Country | Cozy | Credit Score | Date Night | Day in the Life | Decoration | Detached Home | Divorce | Dog Friendly | Dow's Lake | Dow's Lake/Little Italy, Dow's Lake/Little Italy Real Estate | Dow's Lake/Little Italy, West Centre Town Real Estate | Dow's Lake/Little Italy/Civic Hospital and Area, West Centre Town Real Estate | Down Payment | Downsizing | Downtown | Dows Lake - Civic Hospital and Area (4502 - West Centre Town) Real Estate | Dows Lake/Little Italy, West Centre Town Real Estate | Drake | Driving | Duplex | East End | Eco-Friendly | Embrun | Expenses | Expensive | Fall | Fall Colours | Family | Family Friendly | Farmer's Market | Fastest Growing Neighbourhoods | Ferrari | Final Walkthrough | Finance | Findlay Creek | Findlay Creek, Leitrim Real Estate | First Apartment | First-Time Buyer | Fitness Studio | Fixer-Upper | Flipping Homes | Food | For Sale | Foreclosure | Freehold | French-Friendly | Friends | Fun | Future | Gatineau | Glebe | Gloucester Glen | Golden Triangle | Good | Good City to Raise Kids | Gotham | Government Worker | Greely | Growing | GTHA | Guide | Gym | Half Moon Bay | Half Moon Bay - Strandherd, Barrhaven Real Estate | Halloween | Hamilton | Happy Hour | Heat | Heat Pump | Hidden Gems | Hiking Trails | Hintonburg | Hiring a real estate agent | Historic | History Ottawa | Holiday Spirit | Holidays | Home Business | Home Inspection | Home Office | Home Staging | Homes | Homes on the Canal | Housing Correction | How Much Income Is Needed? | How much is my Ottawa Home Worth? | How To Get Around The City | How to Stay Cool | HST Rebate | Hunt Club | Hurdman | Immigrants | Immigration | In-Person Showings | Income Needed | Infrastructure | Instagram | Interest Rates | International Student | Investing | Investment Property | Kanata | KBBQ | Kemptville | Korean BBQ | Labour Day | Land Transfer Tax (LTT) | Land Values | Landlords | Lawyer | Layout | Leads | Lease | Lebreton Flats | Legal Checklist | Library | Life in Ottawa | Lifestyle | Listing | Little Italy | Living Alone | Living Along | Living Comfortable | Living Costs | Living In | Living in Ottawa | Local | Lowertown | Lowertown/Byward Market, Lowertown/Byward Market Real Estate | LRT | Luxury Homes | Luxury Living | Manotick | Market | Market Advice | Market Data | Market Trends | Market Update | Mechanicsville | Meeting Clients | Michelin Guide | Michelin Star | Mississauga | Mistakes | Mixed-Use | Montreal | Mortgage | Most | Most Overated | Mothers Day | Move | Move-In Ready | Moving | Moving From | Moving To | Multi-Family | Multi-Generational | Munster - Richmond, Stittsville Real Estate | National Day for Truth and Reconciliation | Nature | Negotiation | Neighborhoods | Neighbourhoods | New Canadian | New Construction | New Edinburgh | New Immigrant | New Real Estate Agent | New Realtor | New Resident | New Venue | New-Builds | Newcomer | Next 5 Years | Night Life | North Gower | Nuit Blanche | O-Train | Oakville | October | Old Ottawa East | Old Ottawa South | Old Ottawa West | Oldest | Open House | Orleans | Orleans South | Oshawa | Ottawa | Ottawa Centre, Centretown Real Estate | Ottawa East/Greystone Village, Ottawa East/Greystone Village Real Estate | Ottawa Population | Ottawa rea | Ottawa Real Estate | Ottawa River | Over Pricing | Overbrook | Parents | Parking | Parks | Parkwood Hills | Part-time Jobs | Patio Season | Peaceful | Pet-Friendly | Petrie Island | Photography | Pickering | Places | Playfair Park, Alta Vista Real Estate | Pre-Approval | Pre-Construction | Pre-List | Price Your Home | Privacy | Professionals | Property Tax | Pros & Cons | Protect Your Home | Public Transportation | Pumpkin Patch | Queensway Terrace | Questions | Quiet | Raising Kids | Real Estate Agent | Real Estate Broker | Real Estate Brokerage | Real Estate Lawyer | Red Flags | Regret | Relocation | Remote Workers | Renovate | Renovation | Rent vs. Buy | Rental | Renting | Resale | Restaurant | Retirement | Rideau | Rideau Canal | Rinks | Riverside South | Rockcliffe | Rockland | Rowhomes | Rural | Russell | Safe | Sandy Hill | Sandy Hill, Lower Town Real Estate | Save | Savings | Sawmill Creek/Timbermill, Blossom Park - Airport and Area Real Estate | Scenic Drives | Schools | Seasons | Secret | Seller | Selling | September | Shawarma | Shopping Mall | Single Family Home | Single Home | Skating | Smart Home | SOBA | Solo | Somerset | South Keys | Southvale | Space | Spooky Szn | Spring | Spring Market | St. Catherines | Starter | Stay | Still Worth It? | Stittsville | Stoney Creek | Stress-Test | Student Housing | Student Rentals | Students | Studying | Suburb | Successful Habits | Summer | Summer Hone | Sunsets | Surprise | Sushi | Switching | Team | Tenants | Thai Food | Thanksgiving | The Bowery | Things To Do | Thunderstorm | Time Management | Tips | To-Do | Too Expensive? | Top-Producing Realtor | Toronto | Touring | Townhomes | Townhouse | Transit | Transportation | Trends | Tribeca | Tunney's Pasture | University | University of Ottawa | Upgrades | Urban Living | Vacation Rental | Valentines Day | Vancouver | Vanier | Vars | Viewing | Virtual Tours | Vs. | Walkable | Walking | Walks | Wealth | Weekend Getaways | West End | Westboro | WFA | WFH | What $1,000m gets you | What $1.3M Gets You In Ottawa | What are we known for? | What can you buy? | What does it get you? | What to do this weekend? | What to know | Where Do Students Live? | Where is Ottawa Building? | Which city is better to live in? | Which is better to live in? | Which is better? | Whitby | Wine | Wing Deals | Wing Night | Winter | Work From Home | Work Life Balance | Workforce Adjustment | Would You Live Here? | Zoning
The trademarks REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are member’s of CREA. The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by CREA and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. Used under license.
Powered by: REALTOR.ca
Questions about real estate?Call or text 613-327-0131